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Spain 2026 geopolitical risk assessment: Naval Station Rota, Spain — the US-Spanish base at the centre of the NATO access-denial crisis

Spain 2026 geopolitical risk assessment: Naval Station Rota, Spain — the US-Spanish base at the centre of the NATO access-denial crisis

Spain 2026: The Unreliable Ally

Situation Reports

Jul 28

Aerial view of Tokyo Bay at dusk showing Japanese coastal skyline with illuminated skyscrapers and strategic harbor waters against twilight horizon, Indo-Pacific security perspective 2026

Aerial view of Tokyo Bay at dusk showing Japanese coastal skyline with illuminated skyscrapers and strategic harbor waters against twilight horizon, Indo-Pacific security perspective 2026

Japan 2026: The Porcupine's Paradox

Situation Reports

Jul 27

Aerial view of Khartoum Sudan 2026 geopolitical risk assessment showing the confluence of Blue and White Nile rivers at golden hour with desert landscape and city skyline

Aerial view of Khartoum Sudan 2026 geopolitical risk assessment showing the confluence of Blue and White Nile rivers at golden hour with desert landscape and city skyline

Sudan 2026: The Partitioned State and the Forgotten Theatre

Situation Reports

Jul 27

Aerial view of Bangkok cityscape with Chao Phraya River, illustrating Thailand's strategic position at the intersection of China infrastructure expansion, Iran war energy dependency, Myanmar border security failure, and US alliance erosion in 2026

Aerial view of Bangkok cityscape with Chao Phraya River, illustrating Thailand's strategic position at the intersection of China infrastructure expansion, Iran war energy dependency, Myanmar border security failure, and US alliance erosion in 2026

Thailand 2026: The Hedger's Dilemma

Situation Reports

Jul 27

Aerial view of the Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil pipeline terminus at Turkey's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan at dusk, showing tanker loading facilities and crude storage tanks, illustrating Turkey's reactivation as a critical energy transit bypass for Gulf oil exports blocked by the Strait of Hormuz closure, July 2026.

Aerial view of the Kirkuk-Ceyhan oil pipeline terminus at Turkey's Mediterranean port of Ceyhan at dusk, showing tanker loading facilities and crude storage tanks, illustrating Turkey's reactivation as a critical energy transit bypass for Gulf oil exports blocked by the Strait of Hormuz closure, July 2026.

Turkey 2026: The Indispensable Corridor

Situation Reports

Jul 27

Aerial view Managua Nicaragua National Palace dawn military ceremony Ortega July 2026 election abolition

Aerial view Managua Nicaragua National Palace dawn military ceremony Ortega July 2026 election abolition

Nicaragua 2026: The Fortress State

Situation Reports

Jul 26

Aerial view of Lebanese coastal zone at dusk showing southern border monitoring infrastructure, UNIFIL deployment positions, and IDF observation posts along the Blue Line, July 2026

Aerial view of Lebanese coastal zone at dusk showing southern border monitoring infrastructure, UNIFIL deployment positions, and IDF observation posts along the Blue Line, July 2026

Lebanon 2026: The Fragile Front

Situation Reports

Jul 25

Aerial view of the Brazilian National Congress building in Brasília at dusk during the October 2026 presidential election campaign, with the iconic dome and twin towers silhouetted against an amber sky, campaign banners lining the Esplanada dos Ministérios, illustrating Brazil's election crossroads under US tariff pressure and Chinese strategic outreach.

Aerial view of the Brazilian National Congress building in Brasília at dusk during the October 2026 presidential election campaign, with the iconic dome and twin towers silhouetted against an amber sky, campaign banners lining the Esplanada dos Ministérios, illustrating Brazil's election crossroads under US tariff pressure and Chinese strategic outreach.

Brazil 2026: The Election Crossroads — US Tariff Warfare, Chinese Strategic Courtship, Fiscal Fragility

Situation Reports

Jul 25

Aerial view of Kyiv at dawn following overnight Russian ballistic missile attack in the Ukraine Russia war 2026, showing smoke rising from Lukianivka neighbourhood as emergency services work among debris

Aerial view of Kyiv at dawn following overnight Russian ballistic missile attack in the Ukraine Russia war 2026, showing smoke rising from Lukianivka neighbourhood as emergency services work among debris

Ukraine Russia War 2026: The Forgotten Theatre — Russia's Vulnerability, Ukrainian Innovation, and Europe's Sovereign Pivot

Situation Reports

Jul 24

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Independent geopolitical and macroeconomic risk advisory. Our analysts follow rigorous intelligence standards, combining field expertise, original research, and continental strategic culture to deliver decision-grade analysis for senior leaders. Our team draws on operational experience across public institutions — defense, interior, diplomacy, intelligence, research — and the private sector — international corporates, legal and financial advisory, media.

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