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Interrupted mountain road corridor in Haiti with cargo trucks and tap-tap buses stopped at a makeshift roadblock under storm clouds, illustrating supply route and election disruption risk, October 2026. Illustration: CES Intelligence

Interrupted mountain road corridor in Haiti with cargo trucks and tap-tap buses stopped at a makeshift roadblock under storm clouds, illustrating supply route and election disruption risk, October 2026. Illustration: CES Intelligence

Gangs Govern by Default as Port-au-Prince Defers Its Ballots

Executive team reviewing CES Intelligence geopolitical risk dashboard in boardroom session — Global Risk Index visualization with world map and regional breakdowns, representing quarterly strategic synthesis for advisory subscribers

Executive team reviewing CES Intelligence geopolitical risk dashboard in boardroom session — Global Risk Index visualization with world map and regional breakdowns, representing quarterly strategic synthesis for advisory subscribers

Geopolitical Risk Report — The CES Intelligence Book, Q3 2026

North Korea escalation at DMZ border: fortified fence and guard tower in morning fog representing rising tensions on the Korean Peninsula 2026

North Korea escalation at DMZ border: fortified fence and guard tower in morning fog representing rising tensions on the Korean Peninsula 2026

Pyongyang's Escalation Compounds Below the Threshold of War

Ethiopia Tigray Conflict: Mekelle's Fall Starts Longer War

Ethiopia Tigray Conflict: Mekelle's Fall Starts Longer War

Ethiopia Tigray Conflict: Mekelle's Fall Starts Longer War

Military convoy on desert track in North Kordofan, Sudan, at dusk — visual representation of the SAF offensive toward Darfur corridors during UN Security Council arms embargo negotiations

Military convoy on desert track in North Kordofan, Sudan, at dusk — visual representation of the SAF offensive toward Darfur corridors during UN Security Council arms embargo negotiations

Sudan's Battlefield Outruns the Security Council

F-16V Block 70 fighter jet landing on a runway at Chihhang Air Base, Taitung, Taiwan, at dusk

F-16V Block 70 fighter jet landing on a runway at Chihhang Air Base, Taitung, Taiwan, at dusk

Taiwan F-16V Delivery Tests Beijing's Coercion Clock

Barbed wire security fence and watchtower along the India-Pakistan Punjab border at dusk, golden wheat fields stretching to the horizon under an amber-violet sky.

Barbed wire security fence and watchtower along the India-Pakistan Punjab border at dusk, golden wheat fields stretching to the horizon under an amber-violet sky.

India-Pakistan Border Tensions: Restraint Ends Where Kashmir Does

Russian oil refinery complex at dusk with distillation towers silhouetted against a dramatic orange and purple sunset sky.

Russian oil refinery complex at dusk with distillation towers silhouetted against a dramatic orange and purple sunset sky.

The Machines Save Soldiers, Not Cities: Ukraine's Fifth Winter

Aerial view of the newly built Ban Keun military airfield in Laos, with runway, taxiway and aprons carved from farmland, at dusk.

Aerial view of the newly built Ban Keun military airfield in Laos, with runway, taxiway and aprons carved from farmland, at dusk.

The Continental Pivot: Ban Keun and PLA Basing Architecture in Southeast Asia

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