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Interrupted mountain road corridor in Haiti with cargo trucks and tap-tap buses stopped at a makeshift roadblock under storm clouds, illustrating supply route and election disruption risk, October 2026. Illustration: CES Intelligence

Interrupted mountain road corridor in Haiti with cargo trucks and tap-tap buses stopped at a makeshift roadblock under storm clouds, illustrating supply route and election disruption risk, October 2026. Illustration: CES Intelligence

Gangs Govern by Default as Port-au-Prince Defers Its Ballots

Brazilian flag flying in front of the National Congress building in Brasília at dusk under storm clouds, ahead of the 2026 Brazil election runoff

Brazilian flag flying in front of the National Congress building in Brasília at dusk under storm clouds, ahead of the 2026 Brazil election runoff

A Poll Miss Keeps Brazil's Contested-Election Scenario Armed

Cracked dry lakebed of Gatun Lake in front of the Miraflores locks, container ships queuing on the Panama Canal at dusk — illustrating Latin America's El Niño 2026 drought and supply chain exposure.

Cracked dry lakebed of Gatun Lake in front of the Miraflores locks, container ships queuing on the Panama Canal at dusk — illustrating Latin America's El Niño 2026 drought and supply chain exposure.

The Worst Ever Recorded? Mapping Latin America's Board-Level El Niño Exposure

United States Capitol building in Washington DC under clear blue sky, symbolizing American political power and the 2026 midterm elections

United States Capitol building in Washington DC under clear blue sky, symbolizing American political power and the 2026 midterm elections

US Midterms 2026: The Electoral Clock — War, Energy, and Sanctions Under Electoral Constraint

Aerial view of damaged buildings in La Guaira, Venezuela, after the June 2026 twin earthquakes that killed more than 6,000 people

Aerial view of damaged buildings in La Guaira, Venezuela, after the June 2026 twin earthquakes that killed more than 6,000 people

Venezuela 2026 State Collapse: The Decapitated State

Aerial dusk view of Buenos Aires financial district at twilight with Casa Rosada along the Río de la Plata — Argentina 2026 geopolitical risk assessment — CES Intelligence — Javier Milei government — Vaca Muerta energy exports — 2027 debt wall — US dollar backstop

Aerial dusk view of Buenos Aires financial district at twilight with Casa Rosada along the Río de la Plata — Argentina 2026 geopolitical risk assessment — CES Intelligence — Javier Milei government — Vaca Muerta energy exports — 2027 debt wall — US dollar backstop

Argentina 2026: The Dollar Gambit — Javier Milei's Geopolitical Risk Assessment

Aerial view of San Salvador skyline at dusk, El Salvador 2026 geopolitical risk assessment, security dividend and sovereign debt

Aerial view of San Salvador skyline at dusk, El Salvador 2026 geopolitical risk assessment, security dividend and sovereign debt

El Salvador 2026: The Secured State — Bukele's Export Model Meets Its Debt Ceiling

Georgetown Guyana skyline at dusk on the Demerara River, featured in the Guyana 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Georgetown Guyana skyline at dusk on the Demerara River, featured in the Guyana 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Guyana 2026: The Compounding Asset

Aerial view of the National Palace in Managua at dawn during Ortega's July 2026 election abolition ceremony — Nicaragua 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Aerial view of the National Palace in Managua at dawn during Ortega's July 2026 election abolition ceremony — Nicaragua 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Nicaragua 2026: The Fortress State

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