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Aerial view of the Mogadishu coastline at dusk with port cranes, the old city minarets and foreign warships silhouetted offshore beyond the breakwater — cover image of the Somalia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment by CES Intelligence

Aerial view of the Mogadishu coastline at dusk with port cranes, the old city minarets and foreign warships silhouetted offshore beyond the breakwater — cover image of the Somalia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment by CES Intelligence

Somalia 2026: The Sovereignty that Isn't

1 hour ago

Aerial view of Madagascar's eroded coastline meeting the Indian Ocean at dusk, illustrating the Madagascar 2026 geopolitical risk assessment.

Aerial view of Madagascar's eroded coastline meeting the Indian Ocean at dusk, illustrating the Madagascar 2026 geopolitical risk assessment.

Madagascar 2026: The Indian Ocean's Overlooked Fracture

5 hours ago

Zambia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment: Copperbelt mining landscape at dusk with haul trucks and rail corridor infrastructure splitting toward Atlantic and Indian Ocean export routes

Zambia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment: Copperbelt mining landscape at dusk with haul trucks and rail corridor infrastructure splitting toward Atlantic and Indian Ocean export routes

Zambia 2026: The Mineral Prison

2 days ago

Strait of Malacca at dusk showing maritime chokepoint where quarter of global trade transits — Malaysia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment covers Malacca Strait vulnerability, semiconductor supply chain bifurcation, and Chinese coast guard grey-zone operations off Sarawak

Strait of Malacca at dusk showing maritime chokepoint where quarter of global trade transits — Malaysia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment covers Malacca Strait vulnerability, semiconductor supply chain bifurcation, and Chinese coast guard grey-zone operations off Sarawak

Malaysia 2026: The Narrowing Corridor — Malacca, Semiconductors, and the Impossible Neutrality

2 days ago

Ras Laffan Industrial City at dawn with LNG processing towers and storage tanks silhouetted against desert sky, illustrating Qatar 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Ras Laffan Industrial City at dawn with LNG processing towers and storage tanks silhouetted against desert sky, illustrating Qatar 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Qatar 2026: The Mediator's Reckoning

2 days ago

Shanghai skyline at dusk with Pudong financial district towers and container ships on the Huangpu River, illustrating China 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Shanghai skyline at dusk with Pudong financial district towers and container ships on the Huangpu River, illustrating China 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

China 2026: The Overstretch

3 days ago

Freight railway crossing the Central Asian steppe at sunset, illustrating transit corridor competition analysed in the Central Asia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Freight railway crossing the Central Asian steppe at sunset, illustrating transit corridor competition analysed in the Central Asia 2026 geopolitical risk assessment

Central Asia 2026: The Multipolar Pivot

4 days ago

London Thames Barrier at twilight representing United Kingdom 2026 geopolitical risks — political fragmentation, defence industrial erosion, nuclear deterrence restructuring, and energy vulnerability under Hormuz closure.

London Thames Barrier at twilight representing United Kingdom 2026 geopolitical risks — political fragmentation, defence industrial erosion, nuclear deterrence restructuring, and energy vulnerability under Hormuz closure.

United Kingdom 2026: The Brittle Crown

5 days ago

Hungary geopolitical risk assessment 2026: Hungarian Parliament Building on the Danube at night, Budapest

Hungary geopolitical risk assessment 2026: Hungarian Parliament Building on the Danube at night, Budapest

Hungary 2026: The Unwinding

5 days ago

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Independent geopolitical and macroeconomic risk advisory. Our analysts follow rigorous intelligence standards, combining field expertise, original research, and continental strategic culture to deliver decision-grade analysis for senior leaders. Our team draws on operational experience across public institutions — defense, interior, diplomacy, intelligence, research — and the private sector — international corporates, legal and financial advisory, media.

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