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Aerial view of Havana during a national grid collapse in July 2026, showing dark streets with scattered generator lights along El Malecón, as Cuba experiences its most severe energy crisis in history under a six-month US oil blockade with the national grid collapsing three times in ten days.

Aerial view of Havana during a national grid collapse in July 2026, showing dark streets with scattered generator lights along El Malecón, as Cuba experiences its most severe energy crisis in history under a six-month US oil blockade with the national grid collapsing three times in ten days.

Cuba: The Island at the Breaking Point and the Pretext for Intervention

Situation Reports

Jul 23

Aerial drone view of earthquake devastation in La Guaira, Venezuela, June-July 2026, showing collapsed residential buildings with Venezuelan military personnel and civilian volunteers conducting search and rescue operations after twin 7.2 and 7.5 magnitude earthquakes that killed over 5,000 people.

Aerial drone view of earthquake devastation in La Guaira, Venezuela, June-July 2026, showing collapsed residential buildings with Venezuelan military personnel and civilian volunteers conducting search and rescue operations after twin 7.2 and 7.5 magnitude earthquakes that killed over 5,000 people.

Venezuela: The Western Hemisphere's Slow-Motion State Collapse and What It Means for Boards

Situation Reports

Jul 23

Aerial view of Second Thomas Shoal confrontation in South China Sea July 2026, extending the grey-zone escalation documented in CES Intelligence Pacific Compression analysis

Aerial view of Second Thomas Shoal confrontation in South China Sea July 2026, extending the grey-zone escalation documented in CES Intelligence Pacific Compression analysis

South China Sea 2026: Beijing Tests the Limits of American Distraction

Situation Reports

Jul 22

Aerial view of Bab al-Mandeb strait at dusk showing narrow maritime passage between Yemen highlands and Red Sea coast with pipeline infrastructure near Yanbu export terminal, under Houthi blockade threat, July 2026

Aerial view of Bab al-Mandeb strait at dusk showing narrow maritime passage between Yemen highlands and Red Sea coast with pipeline infrastructure near Yanbu export terminal, under Houthi blockade threat, July 2026

Bab al-Mandeb Blockade: The Second Chokepoint and the Strangulation of Gulf Oil Exports

Situation Reports

Jul 22

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Independent geopolitical and macroeconomic risk advisory. Our analysts follow rigorous intelligence standards, combining field expertise, original research, and continental strategic culture to deliver decision-grade analysis for senior leaders. Our team draws on operational experience across public institutions — defense, interior, diplomacy, intelligence, research — and the private sector — international corporates, legal and financial advisory, media.

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