ABOUT US
Independent Analysis For Executives Who Need To Act With Confidence
CES Intelligence provides the structured, independent judgment your leadership team needs to make informed decisions — before risks become crises. We combine geopolitical analysis, macroeconomic intelligence and sector expertise to give executives a clear picture of what matters for their organization, and the confidence to act on it.
Founded by Thierry Marquez — IHEDN and INHESJ auditor, author, and lecturer in strategy and risk management at business school level. Former Senior Reserve Officer with the French Gendarmerie and National Guard — CES Intelligence draws on more than a decade of strategic advisory work at the intersection of defence, energy, and critical infrastructure. Our network combines operational experience across public institutions — defense, interior, diplomacy, intelligence, research — and the private sector, from international corporates to legal and financial advisory and media.
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Core Advisory Pillars
Six areas of expertise — tailored to the risks that matter most to your organization.
1
Systemic Risk Analysis
We identify where financial volatility, regulatory shifts and social instability converge to threaten your operational continuity — so you can anticipate disruption before it materializes.
2
Geopolitical Risk & Macro Intelligence
We map the direct impact of diplomatic developments and power shifts on your strategic assets and investment decisions — moving beyond headlines to what actually matters for your organization.
3
Cyber Threat & Digital Risk
We analyze adversary infrastructure and digital threats as vectors of economic disruption — helping you protect critical data flows and executive decision-making from state and non-state actors.
4
Supply Chain Resilience
We identify critical dependencies and logistical vulnerabilities in your supply chain — ensuring the continuity of essential resource flows in an increasingly complex trade environment.
5
Trade Compliance & Export Controls
We help your organization navigate complex and shifting sanction regimes, protecting your balance sheet from reputational and legal risks tied to technology transfers and dual-use goods.
6
Energy Security & Asset Protection
We assess the vulnerability of your energy assets to sabotage, price instability and regulatory change — supporting your strategic autonomy and the continuity of vital operations.
OUR PURPOSE
Illuminating the Grey Zones of Our World
Geopolitical intelligence should not be the privilege of a few.
CES transforms complex information, emerging signals and international risks into clear, rigorous and accessible analysis — helping leaders make informed decisions and helping everyone better understand the forces shaping our world.
Alongside our advisory work, we make a substantial body of our intelligence freely accessible to the public.
Intelligence & Reports —130+ reports →
Global perspective. Open intelligence.
Our business is intelligence.
Our purpose is understanding.
IN PRACTICE
How CES Intelligence supports decision-makers
1. Anticipating sanctions cycles before they hit the operational line.
Sanctions and export-control analysis that lets European energy and industrial groups track OFAC and Chinese export control developments early — adjusting counterparty exposure, contract clauses and trade routes before market consensus forms.
2. Reading geopolitical inflection points before they reprice assets.
Calibrated probability assessments on Hormuz disruption, critical-mineral export controls, and defence procurement acceleration — helping risk officers flag systemic shifts before exposure becomes urgent
3. Briefing the board with a single structured reading.
Through bespoke Board & Executive Briefings, group strategy teams give directors a shared, calibrated reading of the global environment — and a clear sense of which functions are exposed.
4.Stress-testing strategic assumptions ahead of quarterly reviews.
Scenario Planning Workshops let executive committees challenge baseline assumptions on supply chains, market access, and regulatory exposure — surfacing scenarios that would otherwise stay below the radar.
5. Informing M&A and investment timing in geopolitically exposed sectors.
Country & Region Deep Dives for investment committees in defence, energy, and critical infrastructure — supporting decisions on acquisitions, divestitures, and capex commitments around inflection points rather than after them.
6. Aligning compliance, treasury, and legal on a single risk reading.
CES analysis serves as a common reference across functions — sanctions, legal, treasury, operations — reducing the time spent reconciling conflicting risk readings before each escalation.
7. Pressure-testing crisis playbooks against live scenarios.
Crisis Playbook Stress-Tests confront business continuity and security teams with live geopolitical scenarios drawn from current watchlists — identifying gaps, validating triggers, refining response thresholds.
8. Applying intelligence-community method to corporate decisions.
Judgement with explicit confidence levels — so boards know not only what we conclude, but how firmly. Every engagement applies calibrated probability, source triangulation, and explicit uncertainty: the discipline that separates intelligence from commentary.
In The Media
CES Intelligence and its founder are cited by international media covering geopolitical and strategic developments.
"In France, a comprehensive legislative framework protects critical and vital infrastructure — including nuclear facilities."
— Thierry Marquez, founder of CES Intelligence, in Le Parisien
"Economic Warfare: Influence — a Source of Power for Industry," By Thierry Marquez,
Revue Défense Nationale,
No. 804, ↗ View analysis
