ABOUT US
Independent Analysis For Executives Who Need To Act With Confidence
CES Intelligence provides the structured, independent judgment your leadership team needs to make informed decisions — before risks become crises. We combine geopolitical analysis, macroeconomic intelligence and sector expertise to give executives a clear picture of what matters for their organization, and the confidence to act on it.
Founded by Thierry Marquez — IHEDN and INHESJ auditor, author, and lecturer in strategy and risk management at business school level, and former Senior Reserve Officer with the French Gendarmerie and National Guard — CES Intelligence draws on more than a decade of strategic advisory work at the intersection of defence, energy, and critical infrastructure.
Our analysts apply structured intelligence methods — calibrated probability, source triangulation, and explicit confidence levels — to deliver judgement that boards can act on. Engagements are bespoke and confidential — scenario planning, country and sector deep dives, crisis stress-testing, and board-level briefings, conducted directly by the founder. Enquiries by introduction or direct contact.
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Core Advisory Pillars
Six areas of expertise — tailored to the risks that matter most to your organization.
1
Systemic Risk Analysis
We identify where financial volatility, regulatory shifts and social instability converge to threaten your operational continuity — so you can anticipate disruption before it materializes.
2
Geopolitical Risk & Macro Intelligence
We map the direct impact of diplomatic developments and power shifts on your strategic assets and investment decisions — moving beyond headlines to what actually matters for your organization.
3
Cyber Threat & Digital Risk
We analyze adversary infrastructure and digital threats as vectors of economic disruption — helping you protect critical data flows and executive decision-making from state and non-state actors.
4
Supply Chain Resilience
We identify critical dependencies and logistical vulnerabilities in your supply chain — ensuring the continuity of essential resource flows in an increasingly complex trade environment.
5
Trade Compliance & Export Controls
We help your organization navigate complex and shifting sanction regimes, protecting your balance sheet from reputational and legal risks tied to technology transfers and dual-use goods.
6
Energy Security & Asset Protection
We assess the vulnerability of your energy assets to sabotage, price instability and regulatory change — supporting your strategic autonomy and the continuity of vital operations.
IN PRACTICE
How CES Intelligence supports decision-makers
1. Anticipating sanctions cycles before they hit the operational line.
European energy and industrial groups draw on CES Intelligence analysis to identify OFAC and MOFCOM developments early — adjusting counterparty exposure, contract clauses, and trade routes before market consensus forms.
2. Reading geopolitical inflection points before they reprice assets.
Risk officers use CES calibrated probability assessments — Hormuz disruption, critical-mineral export controls, defence procurement acceleration — to flag systemic shifts before exposure becomes urgent.
3. Briefing the board with a single structured reading.
Through bespoke Board & Executive Briefings, group strategy teams give directors a shared, calibrated reading of the global environment — and a clear sense of which functions are exposed.
4.Stress-testing strategic assumptions ahead of quarterly reviews.
Scenario Planning Workshops let executive committees challenge baseline assumptions on supply chains, market access, and regulatory exposure — surfacing scenarios that would otherwise stay below the radar.
5. Informing M&A and investment timing in geopolitically exposed sectors.
Investment committees in defence, energy, and critical infrastructure use Country & Region Deep Dives to time acquisitions, divestitures, and capex commitments around inflection points rather than after them.
6. Aligning compliance, treasury, and legal on a single risk reading.
CES analysis serves as a common reference across functions — sanctions, legal, treasury, operations — reducing the time spent reconciling conflicting risk readings before each escalation.
7. Pressure-testing crisis playbooks against live scenarios.
Crisis Playbook Stress-Tests confront business continuity and security teams with live geopolitical scenarios drawn from current watchlists — identifying gaps, validating triggers, refining response thresholds.
8. Applying intelligence-community method to corporate decisions.
Every engagement follows ICD 203/206 standards — calibrated confidence, source triangulation, explicit uncertainty — the discipline that separates intelligence from commentary.
Insights for Informed Decision-Making
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